作者
Alberto Jiménez-Valverde, Yoshinori Nakazawa, Andrés Lira-Noriega, A Townsend Peterson
发表日期
2009/8/20
期刊
Biodiversity Informatics
卷号
6
页码范围
28-35
简介
The environmental causation of species’ distributions depends on three general, interacting types of factors: the abiotic (or physical) environment, the biotic environment, and accessibility of areas across complex landscapes (Pulliam 2000; Soberón and Peterson 2005; Soberón 2007). Indirect variables, such as elevation, are those associated with the presence of species owing to correlation with the actual variables that directly and causally affect the fitness of the species, such as temperature or precipitation (Austin 2002). Put another way, variables can be arranged along a gradient of proximal to distal, regarding the immediacy of causality regarding the fitness of the species: indirect variables are always distal variables (Austin 2002). Contrary to proximal variables, distal variables are often easy measurable, and thus available in georeferenced databases (Fig. 1). Many researchers now attempt to reconstruct these environmental dimensions as ecological niche models (also termed “bioclimatic envelopes,”“environmental niche models,” or even “species distribution models”), using a variety of inferential approaches. Niche models have been used to predict geographic distributions of species (Guisan et al. 2006), anticipate distributions of unknown species (Raxworthy et al. 2003), estimate the invasive potential of species (Peterson 2003; Thuiller et al. 2005), and forecast climate change effects on species’ distributions (Araújo et al. 2005). The predictive capacity of these approaches makes them particularly useful in applications involving “transferring” the niche model to make predictions regarding other landscapes or time periods (Araújo and …
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