作者
Elmar Kriegler, Nico Bauer, Alexander Popp, Florian Humpenöder, Marian Leimbach, Jessica Strefler, Lavinia Baumstark, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jérôme Hilaire, David Klein, Ioanna Mouratiadou, Isabelle Weindl, Christoph Bertram, Jan-Philipp Dietrich, Gunnar Luderer, Michaja Pehl, Robert Pietzcker, Franziska Piontek, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Anne Biewald, Markus Bonsch, Anastasis Giannousakis, Ulrich Kreidenweis, Christoph Müller, Susanne Rolinski, Anselm Schultes, Jana Schwanitz, Miodrag Stevanovic, Katherine Calvin, Johannes Emmerling, Shinichiro Fujimori, Ottmar Edenhofer
发表日期
2017/1/1
期刊
Global environmental change
卷号
42
页码范围
297-315
出版商
Pergamon
简介
This paper presents a set of energy and resource intensive scenarios based on the concept of Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs). The scenario family is characterized by rapid and fossil-fueled development with high socio-economic challenges to mitigation and low socio-economic challenges to adaptation (SSP5). A special focus is placed on the SSP5 marker scenario developed by the REMIND-MAgPIE integrated assessment modeling framework. The SSP5 baseline scenarios exhibit very high levels of fossil fuel use, up to a doubling of global food demand, and up to a tripling of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions over the course of the century, marking the upper end of the scenario literature in several dimensions. These scenarios are currently the only SSP scenarios that result in a radiative forcing pathway as high as the highest Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP8.5). This paper …
学术搜索中的文章
E Kriegler, N Bauer, A Popp, F Humpenöder… - Global environmental change, 2017