作者
Guwei Zhang, Gang Zeng, Xin-Zhong Liang, Cunrui Huang
发表日期
2021/6/10
期刊
Environmental Research Letters
卷号
16
期号
6
页码范围
064073
出版商
IOP Publishing
简介
A heat danger day is defined as an extreme when the heat stress index (a combined temperature and humidity measure) exceeding 41 C, warranting public heat alerts. This study assesses future heat risk (ie heat danger days times the population at risk) based on the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 projections. In recent decades (1995–2014) China's urban agglomerations (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Middle Yangtze River, Chongqing-Chengdu, and Pearl River Delta (PRD)) experienced no more than three heat danger days per year, but this number is projected to increase to 3–13 days during the population explosion period (2041–2060) under the high-emission shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). This increase will result in approximately 260 million people in these agglomerations facing more than three heat danger days annually, accounting for …
引用总数
学术搜索中的文章
G Zhang, G Zeng, XZ Liang, C Huang - Environmental Research Letters, 2021