作者
David J Altschul, Santiago R Unda, Joshua Benton, Rafael de la Garza Ramos, Phillip Cezayirli, Mark Mehler, Emad N Eskandar
发表日期
2020/10/7
期刊
Scientific reports
卷号
10
期号
1
页码范围
16726
出版商
Nature Publishing Group UK
简介
COVID-19 is commonly mild and self-limiting, but in a considerable portion of patients the disease is severe and fatal. Determining which patients are at high risk of severe illness or mortality is essential for appropriate clinical decision making. We propose a novel severity score specifically for COVID-19 to help predict disease severity and mortality. 4711 patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were included. We derived a risk model using the first half of the cohort (n = 2355 patients) by logistic regression and bootstrapping methods. The discriminative power of the risk model was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). The severity score was validated in a second half of 2356 patients. Mortality incidence was 26.4% in the derivation cohort and 22.4% in the validation cohort. A COVID-19 severity score ranging from 0 to 10, consisting of age, oxygen …
引用总数
20202021202220232024548322811
学术搜索中的文章
DJ Altschul, SR Unda, J Benton, R de la Garza Ramos… - Scientific reports, 2020