作者
Mohsen Correction Naghavi, Haidong Wang, Rafael Lozano, Adrian Davis, Xiaofeng Liang, Maigeng Zhou, Stein Emil Vollset, Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren, Safa Abdalla, Foad Abd Allah, Muna I Abdel Aziz, Semaw Ferede Abera, Victor Aboyans, Biju Abraham, Jerry P Abraham, Katrina E Abuabara, Ibrahim Abubakar, Laith J Abu Raddad, Niveen ME Abu Rmeileh, Tom Achoki, Ademola Adelekan, Zanfina Ademi, Koranteng Adofo, Arse Kouablan Adou, Jos C Adsuar, Johan Ärnlöv, Emilie Elisabet Agardh, Dickens Akena, Mazin J Al Khabouri, Deena Alasfoor, Mohammed Albittar, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Alicia V Aleman, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Rafael Alfonso Cristancho, Samia Alhabib, Mohammed K Ali, Raghib Ali, Francois Alla, Faris Al Lami, Peter Allebeck, Mohammad A AlMazroa, Rustam Al Shahi Salman, Ubai Alsharif, Elena Alvarez, Nelson Alviz Guzman, Adansi A Amankwaa, Azmeraw T Amare, Omid Ameli, Hassan Amini, Walid Ammar, H Ross Anderson, Benjamin O Anderson, Carl Abelardo T Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Henry Apfel, Solveig Argeseanu Cunningham, Valentina S Arsic Arsenijevic, Al Artaman, Majed Masoud Asad, Rana J Asghar, Reza Assadi, Lydia S Atkins, Charles Atkinson, Alaa Badawi, Maria C Bahit, Talal Bakfalouni, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Shivanthi Balalla, Amitava Banerjee, Ryan M Barber, Suzanne L Barker Collo, Simon Barquera, Lars Barregard, Lope H Barrero, Tonatiuh Barrientos Gutierrez, Arindam Basu, Sanjay Basu, Mohammed Omar Basulaiman, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Tolesa Bekele, Michelle L Bell, Corina Benjet, Derrick A Bennett, Isabela M Bensenor, Habib Benzian, Amelia Bertozzi Villa, Tariku Jibat Beyene, Neeraj Bhala, Ashish Bhalla, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Boris Bikbov, Aref Bin Abdulhak, Stan Biryukov, Jed D Blore, Fiona M Blyth, Megan A Bohensky, Guilherme Borges, Dipan Bose, Soufiane Boufous, Rupert R Bourne, Lindsay N Boyers, Michael Brainin, Michael Brauer, Carol EG Brayne, Alexandra Brazinova, Nicholas Breitborde, Hermann Brenner, Adam DM Briggs, Jonathan C Brown, Traolach S Brugha, Geoffrey C Buckle, Linh Ngoc Bui, Gene Bukhman, Michael Burch, Ismael Ricardo Campos Nonato, He Carabin, Rosario Cardenas, Jonathan Carapetis, David O Carpenter, Valeria Caso, Carlos A Castanda Orjuela, Ruben Estanislao Castro, Ferrán Catalá López, Fiorella Cavalleri, Jung Chen Chang, Fiona C Charlson, Xuan Che, Honglei Chen, Yingyao Chen, Jian Sheng Chen, Zhengming Chen, Peggy Pei Chia Chiang, Odgerel Chimed Ochir, Rajiv Chowdhury, Hanne Christensen, Costas A Christophi, Ting Wu Chuang, Sumeet S Chugh, Massimo Cirillo, Matthew M Coates, Luc Edgar Coffeng, Megan S Coggeshall, Aaron Cohen, Valentina Colistro, Samantha M Colquhoun, Mercedes Colomar, Leslie Trumbull Cooper
发表日期
2015
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
385
期号
9963
页码范围
117-171
简介
Background Up-to-date evidence on levels and trends for age-sex-specifi c all-cause and cause-specifi c mortality is essential for the formation of global, regional, and national health policies. In the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) we estimated yearly deaths for 188 countries between 1990, and 2013. We used the results to assess whether there is epidemiological convergence across countries. Methods We estimated age-sex-specifi c all-cause mortality using the GBD 2010 methods with some refinements to improve accuracy applied to an updated database of vital registration, survey, and census data. We generally estimated cause of death as in the GBD 2010. Key improvements included the addition of more recent vital registration data for 72 countries, an updated verbal autopsy literature review, two new and detailed data systems for China, and more detail for Mexico, UK, Turkey, and Russia. We improved statistical models for garbage code redistribution. We used six different modelling strategies across the 240 causes; cause of death ensemble modelling (CODEm) was the dominant strategy for causes with sufficient information. Trends for Alzheimer's disease and other dementias were informed by meta-regression of prevalence studies. For pathogen-specifi c causes of diarrhoea and lower respiratory infections we used a counterfactual approach. We computed two measures of convergence (inequality) across countries: the average relative difference across all pairs of countries (Gini coefficient) and the average absolute difference across countries. To summarise broad findings, we used multiple decrement life-tables …
学术搜索中的文章
M Correction Naghavi, H Wang, R Lozano, A Davis… - The Lancet, 2015
V Aboyans - The Lancet, 2015
GBD Mortality - S0140-6736 (14)