作者
Leonel C Gonçalves, Juliane Gerth, Astrid Rossegger, Thomas Noll, Jérôme Endrass
发表日期
2020/3
期刊
Sexual Abuse
卷号
32
期号
2
页码范围
203-219
出版商
Sage Publications
简介
This study evaluated the validity of the Static-99 and Static-99R in assessing sexual recidivism in Switzerland, based on a sample of 142 male sex offenders. Both tools showed predictive validity, but the Static-99R had better discrimination (OR = 1.82, AUC = .81) and calibration (Brier = .078, P/E = 0.96) than the Static-99. A cut score of four on the Static-99R maximized sensitivity (92.9%) and specificity (60.2%). However, although most offenders (98.7%) with a score < 4 did not commit sexual offenses in the 5-year follow-up period, only one in five (20.3%) offenders with a score ≥ 4 actually recidivated. Furthermore, the predicted number of recidivists in the well above average risk category (Static-99R ≥ 6) was 24% higher than expected in routine samples. The results suggest that the Static-99R may be a useful screening tool to identify low-risk individuals but offenders with scores ≥ 4 should be subjected to a …
引用总数
20212022202320245442
学术搜索中的文章
LC Gonçalves, J Gerth, A Rossegger, T Noll, J Endrass - Sexual Abuse, 2020