作者
Wayne E Ferson, Campbell R Harvey
发表日期
1991/4/1
期刊
Journal of political economy
卷号
99
期号
2
页码范围
385-415
出版商
The University of Chicago Press
简介
This paper provides an analysis of the predictable components of monthly common stock and bond portfolio returns. Most of the predictability is associated with sensitivity to economic variables in a rational asset pricing model with multiple betas. The stock market risk premimum is the most important for capturing predictable variation of the stock portfolios, while premiums associated with interest rate risks capture predictability of the bond returns. Time variation in the premium for beta risk is more important than changes in the betas.
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