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High intensity of acute postsurgical pain is one of the strongest predictors of chronic postsurgical pain (CPSP). We investigated if different types of patients with distinct combinations of initial pain intensity and rate of pain resolution exhibit different risks for increased pain intensity six months after surgery.

Data from 174 patients were examined using growth mixture analysis by means of structural equation modeling.

Three types of patients were distinguished on the basis of acute pain trajectories. The majority of patients (57%) showed an unproblematic pattern of little initial pain on the first postoperative day, combined with further pain resolution over the four subsequent days. There also was a substantial group of patients (30%) who started out with severe pain but exhibited a high rate of pain resolution. Finally, we found a …