作者
Ryan M Barber, Reed JD Sorensen, David M Pigott, Catherine Bisignano, Austin Carter, Joanne O Amlag, James K Collins, Cristiana Abbafati, Christopher Adolph, Adrien Allorant, Aleksandr Y Aravkin, Bree L Bang-Jensen, Emma Castro, Suman Chakrabarti, Rebecca M Cogen, Emily Combs, Haley Comfort, Kimberly Cooperrider, Xiaochen Dai, Farah Daoud, Amanda Deen, Lucas Earl, Megan Erickson, Samuel B Ewald, Alize J Ferrari, Abraham D Flaxman, Joseph Jon Frostad, Nancy Fullman, John R Giles, Gaorui Guo, Jiawei He, Monika Helak, Erin N Hulland, Bethany M Huntley, Alice Lazzar-Atwood, Kate E LeGrand, Stephen S Lim, Akiaja Lindstrom, Emily Linebarger, Rafael Lozano, Beatrice Magistro, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Johan Månsson, Ana M Mantilla Herrera, Ali H Mokdad, Lorenzo Monasta, Mohsen Naghavi, Shuhei Nomura, Christopher M Odell, Latera Tesfaye Olana, Samuel M Ostroff, Maja Pasovic, Spencer A Pease, Robert C Reiner Jr, Grace Reinke, Antonio Luiz P Ribeiro, Damian F Santomauro, Aleksei Sholokhov, Emma E Spurlock, Ruri Syailendrawati, Roman Topor-Madry, Anh Truc Vo, Theo Vos, Rebecca Walcott, Ally Walker, Kirsten E Wiens, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Nahom Alemseged Worku, Peng Zheng, Simon I Hay, Emmanuela Gakidou, Christopher JL Murray
发表日期
2022/6/25
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
399
期号
10344
页码范围
2351-2380
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
Timely, accurate, and comprehensive estimates of SARS-CoV-2 daily infection rates, cumulative infections, the proportion of the population that has been infected at least once, and the effective reproductive number (Reffective) are essential for understanding the determinants of past infection, current transmission patterns, and a population's susceptibility to future infection with the same variant. Although several studies have estimated cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections in select locations at specific points in time, all of these analyses have relied on biased data inputs that were not adequately corrected for. In this study, we aimed to provide a novel approach to estimating past SARS-CoV-2 daily infections, cumulative infections, and the proportion of the population infected, for 190 countries and territories from the start of the pandemic to Nov 14, 2021. This approach combines data from reported cases …
引用总数