作者
Can Wan, Zhao Xu, Yelei Wang, Zhao Yang Dong, Kit Po Wong
发表日期
2014/1
期刊
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid
卷号
5
期号
1
页码范围
463-470
出版商
IEEE
简介
The electricity market plays a key role in realizing the economic prophecy of smart grids. Accurate and reliable electricity market price forecasting is essential to facilitate various decision making activities of market participants in the future smart grid environment. However, due to the nonstationarities involved in market clearing prices (MCPs), it is rather difficult to accurately predict MCPs in advance. The challenge is getting intensified as more and more renewable energy and other new technologies emerged in smart grids. Therefore transformation from traditional point forecasts to probabilistic interval forecasts can be of great importance to quantify the uncertainties of potential forecasts, thus effectively supporting the decision making activities against uncertainties and risks ahead. This paper proposes a hybrid approach to construct prediction intervals of MCPs with a two-stage formulation. In the first stage, extreme …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
C Wan, Z Xu, Y Wang, ZY Dong, KP Wong - IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2013