作者
Elamin H Elbasha, Erik J Dasbach, Ralph P Insinga
发表日期
2008/11
期刊
Bulletin of mathematical biology
卷号
70
页码范围
2126-2176
出版商
Springer-Verlag
简介
A prophylactic quadrivalent (types 6/11/16/18) vaccine against oncogenic and warts-causing genital Human papillomavirus (HPV) types was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration in 2006. This paper presents a nonlinear, deterministic, age-structured, mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of HPV and disease occurrence in a US population stratified by gender and sexual activity group. The model can assess both the epidemiologic consequences and cost effectiveness of alternative vaccination strategies in a setting of organized cervical cancer screening in the United States. Inputs for the model were obtained from public data sources, published literature, and analyses of clinical trial data. The results suggest that a prophylactic quadrivalent HPV vaccine can: (i) substantially reduce the incidence of disease, (ii) increase survival among females, (iii) improve quality of life for both …
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学术搜索中的文章
EH Elbasha, EJ Dasbach, RP Insinga - Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2008