作者
Frank Ewert, Reimund P Rötter, Marco Bindi, Heidi Webber, Marián Trnka, Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Jørgen E Olesen, Martin K van Ittersum, Sander Janssen, Mike Rivington, Mikhail A Semenov, Daniel Wallach, John R Porter, Derek Stewart, Jan Verhagen, Thomas Gaiser, Taru Palosuo, Fulu Tao, Claas Nendel, Pier Paolo Roggero, L Bartošová, Senthold Asseng
发表日期
2015/10/1
期刊
Environmental Modelling & Software
卷号
72
页码范围
287-303
出版商
Elsevier
简介
The complexity of risks posed by climate change and possible adaptations for crop production has called for integrated assessment and modelling (IAM) approaches linking biophysical and economic models. This paper attempts to provide an overview of the present state of crop modelling to assess climate change risks to food production and to which extent crop models comply with IAM demands. Considerable progress has been made in modelling effects of climate variables, where crop models best satisfy IAM demands. Demands are partly satisfied for simulating commonly required assessment variables. However, progress on the number of simulated crops, uncertainty propagation related to model parameters and structure, adaptations and scaling are less advanced and lagging behind IAM demands. The limitations are considered substantial and apply to a different extent to all crop models. Overcoming …
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F Ewert, RP Rötter, M Bindi, H Webber, M Trnka… - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2015