作者
Mohammad H Forouzanfar, Ashkan Afshin, Lily T Alexander, H Ross Anderson, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Stan Biryukov, Michael Brauer, Richard Burnett, Kelly Cercy, Fiona J Charlson, Aaron J Cohen, Lalit Dandona, Kara Estep, Alize J Ferrari, Joseph J Frostad, Nancy Fullman, Peter W Gething, William W Godwin, Max Griswold, Simon I Hay, Yohannes Kinfu, Hmwe H Kyu, Heidi J Larson, Xiaofeng Liang, Stephen S Lim, Patrick Y Liu, Alan D Lopez, Rafael Lozano, Laurie Marczak, George A Mensah, Ali H Mokdad, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Mohsen Naghavi, Bruce Neal, Marissa B Reitsma, Gregory A Roth, Joshua A Salomon, Patrick J Sur, Theo Vos, Joseph A Wagner, Haidong Wang, Yi Zhao, Maigeng Zhou, Gunn Marit Aasvang, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja M Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Abdishakur M Abdulle, Semaw Ferede Abera, Biju Abraham, Laith J Abu-Raddad, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Ademi
发表日期
2016/10/8
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
388
期号
10053
页码范围
1659-1724
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 provides an up-to-date synthesis of the evidence for risk factor exposure and the attributable burden of disease. By providing national and subnational assessments spanning the past 25 years, this study can inform debates on the importance of addressing risks in context.
Methods
We used the comparative risk assessment framework developed for previous iterations of the Global Burden of Disease Study to estimate attributable deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and trends in exposure by age group, sex, year, and geography for 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks from 1990 to 2015. This study included 388 risk-outcome pairs that met World Cancer Research Fund-defined criteria for convincing or probable evidence. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates …
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