作者
Robert Richter, Uwe E Berger, Stefan Dullinger, Franz Essl, Michael Leitner, Matthew Smith, Gero Vogl
发表日期
2013/12
期刊
Journal of Applied Ecology
卷号
50
期号
6
页码范围
1422-1430
简介
- Ragweed Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. is rapidly spreading in Europe. Its pollen is highly allergenic, with 4–5% of Europeans being sensitized. There is an urgent need to curtail the further spread to minimize allergy costs.
- We simulated the spread of ragweed in Austria and southern Germany (Bavaria) until 2050 with particular emphasis on expected climate change. Using different management scenarios and levels of management effort, we analysed the potential for reducing human allergy costs, that is, expenses caused by allergies from ragweed pollen, by curtailing the accelerating spread of ragweed. We accounted for three contrasting climate assumptions: no change in temperature and moderate (annual temperature increase of 0·025 °C) and more extreme (annual temperature increase of 0·04 °C) climate change.
- We found that a carefully designed management plan consisting of survey and eradication can …
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R Richter, UE Berger, S Dullinger, F Essl, M Leitner… - Journal of Applied Ecology, 2013