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With the consensus that human activities are leading to dangerous interference in Earth’s climate, there has been growing policy pressure for clear quantification and attribution of the resulting biological impacts. Despite the exceptional diversity in the Mediterranean biome, largely due to the number of rare and endemic plant species, the effect of future climate change on present Mediterranean plant species has only been examined in a few studies. In this study we presented an analysis of the potential effects of climate change on 22 plant species whose range is restricted to central-northern Mediterranean region. We used species distribution modelling to test whether projected climate change may affect the current suitability of species’ habitat; to evaluate possible future threats due to climate change; and to test any relationship between extinction risk and ecological and life-history predictors. The studied species …