作者
Binaya Adhikari, Suresh C Subedi, Shivish Bhandari, Kedar Baral, Sandesh Lamichhane, Tek Maraseni
发表日期
2023/6
期刊
Ecosphere
卷号
14
期号
6
页码范围
e4584
出版商
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
简介
Climate change could amplify the extinction risk of endemic species, and the risk is even greater for species occupying high elevations and mountain ranges. In this study, we assessed the climatically suitable habitat of the only endemic Nepalese bird species, the spiny babbler (Turdoides nipalensis), and predicted the extent of the future (2050 and 2070) habitat of this species under two climate change scenarios (SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5). We used georeferenced occurrence points alongside ecologically meaningful climatic and topographic variables to develop an ensemble suitable habitat model using different species distribution modeling algorithms in BIOMOD2. We identified 22,488.83 km2 (15%) of Nepal's total land area as suitable habitat for this endemic species, where the nonprotected regions incorporated the largest extent of suitable habitat (88%), with a majority of this suitable area within the central …
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