作者
Gundappa Baradevanal, Subhash Chander, PD Kamala Jayanthi, HS Singh, D Srinivasa Reddy
发表日期
2021
期刊
Journal of Plant Diseases and Protection
页码范围
https://doi.org/10.1007/s41348-021-00441
出版商
German Society of Plant Protection and Plant Health
简介
Considering the quarantine importance of the red-banded mango caterpillar, Deanolis sublimbalis (Crambidae: Lepidoptera), studies were carried out to predict the impact of climate change on its geographical distribution using the ecological niche modeling. Predictions were made based on the analysis of the relationship between occurrence points of D. sublimbalis and the corresponding current and future climate data of the study area, which was retrieved from the worldclim database. Spatial analysis software DIVA-GIS was used for visualization of the maps. The maximum entropy algorithm provided reasonable estimates of the species range in respect of discrimination of suitable and unsuitable areas for its occurrence in both present and future climatic conditions. The model provided a good fit for species distribution with a high value of area under the curve (0.971). Jackknife test indicated temperature …
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