作者
Robert C Brunham, Babak Pourbohloul, Sunny Mak, Rick White, Michael L Rekart
发表日期
2005/11/15
期刊
The Journal of infectious diseases
卷号
192
期号
10
页码范围
1836-1844
出版商
The University of Chicago Press
简介
BackgroundAfter the introduction of a program to control Chlamydia trachomatis infection in British Columbia, Canada, case rates fell from 216 cases/100,000 population in 1991 to 104 cases/100,000 population in 1997. Since 1998, rates have increased, and case counts now exceed those recorded before the intervention
MethodsWe used Cox proportional-hazards survival analysis and developed a compartmental mathematical model to investigate the cause of resurgence in chlamydia cases
ResultsCox proportional-hazards survival analysis showed that the relative risk of C. trachomatis reinfection has increased 4.6% per year since 1989, with the increased risk greatest among the young and greater among women than men. A compartmental mathematical model of C. trachomatis transmission showed that a control strategy based on shortening the average duration of infection …
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