作者
Jonathan M Read, Matt J Keeling
发表日期
2003/4/7
期刊
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences
卷号
270
期号
1516
页码范围
699-708
出版商
The Royal Society
简介
Owing to their rapid reproductive rate and the severe penalties for reduced fitness, diseases are under immense evolutionary pressure. Understanding the evolutionary response of diseases in new situations has clear public–health consequences, given the changes in social and movement patterns over recent decades and the increased use of antibiotics. This paper investigates how a disease may adapt in response to the routes of transmission available between infected and susceptible individuals. The potential transmission routes are defined by a computer–generated contact network, which we describe as either local (highly clustered networks where connected individuals are likely to share common contacts) or global (unclustered networks with a high proportion of long–range connections). Evolution towards stable strategies operates through the gradual random mutation of disease traits (transmission rate …
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JM Read, MJ Keeling - Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B …, 2003