作者
Haidong Wang, Tim M Wolock, Austin Carter, Grant Nguyen, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Emmanuela Gakidou, Simon I Hay, Edward J Mills, Adam Trickey, William Msemburi, Matthew M Coates, Meghan D Mooney, Maya S Fraser, Amber Sligar, Joshua Salomon, Heidi J Larson, Joseph Friedman, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Kaja M Abbas, Mohamed Magdy Abd El Razek, Foad Abd-Allah, Abdishakur M Abdulle, Semaw Ferede Abera, Ibrahim Abubakar, Laith J Abu-Raddad, Niveen ME Abu-Rmeileh, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Ademola Lukman Adelekan, Koranteng Adofo, Arsene Kouablan Adou, Oluremi N Ajala, Tomi F Akinyemiju, Nadia Akseer, Faris Hasan Al Lami, Ziyad Al-Aly, Khurshid Alam, Noore KM Alam, Deena Alasfoor, Saleh Fahed S Aldhahri, Robert William Aldridge, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Alicia V Aleman, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho, Raghib Ali, Ala'a Alkerwi, François Alla, Rajaa Mohammad, Salem Al-Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Elena Alvarez, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Azmeraw T Amare, Alemayehu Amberbir, Adeladza Kofi Amegah, Walid Ammar, Stephen Marc Amrock, Carl Abelardo T Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Johan Ärnlöv, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Rana Jawad Asghar, Reza Assadi, Suleman Atique, Lydia S Atkins, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Umar Bacha, Alaa Badawi, Aleksandra Barac, Till Bärnighausen, Arindam Basu, Tigist Assefa Bayou, Yibeltal Tebekaw Bayou, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Derrick A Bennett, Isabela M Bensenor, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Eesh Bhatia, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Boris Bikbov, Sait Mentes Birlik, Donal Bisanzio, Michael Brainin, Alexandra Brazinova, Nicholas JK Breitborde, Alexandria Brown, Michael Burch, Zahid A Butt, Julio Cesar Campuzano, Rosario Cárdenas, Juan Jesus Carrero, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-chen Chang, Laxmikant Chavan, Wanqing Chen, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Mirriam Chibalabala, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher, Liliana G Ciobanu, Cyrus Cooper, Tukur Dahiru, Solomon Abrha Damtew, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, José das Neves, Pieter de Jager, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P Dellavalle, Kebede Deribe, Amare Deribew, Don C Des Jarlais, Samath D Dharmaratne, Eric L Ding, Pratik Pinal Doshi, Kerrie E Doyle, Tim R Driscoll, Manisha Dubey, Yousef Mohamed Elshrek, Iqbal Elyazar, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sergey Petrovich Ermakov, Babak Eshrati, Alireza Esteghamati, Imad DA Faghmous, Andre Faro, Maryam S Farvid, Farshad Farzadfar, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Joao C Fernandes, Florian Fischer, Joseph Robert Anderson Fitchett, Nataliya Foigt, Nancy Fullman, Thomas Fürst
发表日期
2016/8/1
期刊
The lancet HIV
卷号
3
期号
8
页码范围
e361-e387
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015.
Methods
For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of …
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H Wang, TM Wolock, A Carter, G Nguyen, HH Kyu… - The lancet HIV, 2016