作者
Clemens Breisinger, Tingju Zhu, Perrihan Al Riffai, Gerald Nelson, Richard Robertson, Jose Funes, Dorte Verner
发表日期
2013/2/20
期刊
Climate Change Economics
卷号
4
期号
01
页码范围
1350002
出版商
World Scientific Publishing Company
简介
There is broad consensus among scientists that climate change is altering weather patterns around the world. However, economists are only beginning to develop comprehensive tools that allow for the quantification of such weather changes on countries' economies and people. This paper presents a modeling suite that links the downscaling of global climate models, crop modeling, global economic modeling, and sub-national-level dynamic computable equilibrium modeling. Important to note is that this approach allows for decomposing the potential global and local economic effects on countries, including various economic sectors and different household groups. We apply this modeling suite to Syria, a relevant case study given the country's location in a region that is consistently projected to be among those hit hardest by climate change. We find that, despite a certain degree of endogenous adaptation, local …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
C Breisinger, T Zhu, P Al Riffai, G Nelson, R Robertson… - Climate Change Economics, 2013