作者
Seuk Wai Phoong, Siok Kun Sek
发表日期
2013/7/30
期刊
Information Management and Business Review
卷号
5
期号
7
页码范围
331-336
简介
Stock market index represent a country growth and always as an interest for economist and statisticians. In this paper, the effect of oil price and gold price on stock market index on Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Indonesia are investigated and a two-regime Markov Switching Vector Error Correction model is used to examine the nonlinear properties model. Moreover, a two regime mean adjusted Markov Switching Vector Error Correction model is used in the study to capture the filtered and smoothed probabilities of the time series sequence in the economic model. Results found that the oil price and gold price affect the movement of the Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Indonesia stock market index and there is an asymmetric cycle since 97% of the total sample size is recorded in the growth state.
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