作者
Philippe Roudier, Jafet Andersson, Chantal Donnelly, Luc Feyen, Wouter Greuell, Fulco Ludwig
发表日期
2016/3
期刊
Climatic change
卷号
135
期号
2
页码范围
341-355
出版商
Springer Netherlands
简介
We present an assessment of the impacts of a+ 2 C global warming on extreme floods and hydrological droughts (1 in 10 and 1 in 100 year events) in Europe using eleven bias-corrected climate model simulations from CORDEX Europe and three hydrological models. The results show quite contrasted results between northern and southern Europe. Flood magnitudes are expected to increase significantly south of 60 o N, except for some regions (Bulgaria, Poland, south of Spain) where the results are not significant. The sign of these changes are particularly robust in large parts of Romania, Ukraine, Germany, France and North of Spain. North of this line, floods are projected to decrease in most of Finland, NW Russia and North of Sweden, with the exception of southern Sweden and some coastal areas in Norway where floods may increase. The results concerning extreme droughts are less robust, especially for …
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