作者
Xurong Shi, Yixuan Zheng, Yu Lei, Wenbo Xue, Gang Yan, Xin Liu, Bofeng Cai, Dan Tong, Jinnan Wang
发表日期
2021/11/15
期刊
Science of the Total Environment
卷号
795
页码范围
148784
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 newly announced in China are expected to substantially affect air quality. Here we project the pollutants emissions in China based on a carbon neutrality roadmap and clean air policies evolution; national and regional PM2.5 and O3 concentrations in 2030 (the target year of carbon peak), 2035 (the target year of “Beautiful China 2035” launched by the Chinese government to fundamentally improve air quality) and 2060 (the target year of carbon neutrality) are then simulated using an air quality model. Results showed that compared with 2019, emissions of SO2, NOx, primary PM2.5, and VOCs are projected to reduce by 42%, 42%, 44%, and 28% in 2030, by 57%, 58%, 60%, and 42% in 2035, by 93%, 93%, 90% and 61% in 2060 respectively. Consequently, in 2030, 2035, and 2060, the national annual mean PM2.5 will be 27, 23, and 11 μg m−3; and the 90th percentile of …
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X Shi, Y Zheng, Y Lei, W Xue, G Yan, X Liu, B Cai… - Science of the Total Environment, 2021