作者
Marius Gilbert, Xiangming Xiao, Dirk U Pfeiffer, Michael Epprecht, Stephen Boles, Christina Czarnecki, Prasit Chaitaweesub, Wantanee Kalpravidh, Phan Q Minh, Martin Joachim Otte, Vincent Martin, Jan Slingenbergh
发表日期
2008/3/25
期刊
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
卷号
105
期号
12
页码范围
4769-4774
出版商
National Academy of Sciences
简介
The highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus that emerged in southern China in the mid-1990s has in recent years evolved into the first HPAI panzootic. In many countries where the virus was detected, the virus was successfully controlled, whereas other countries face periodic reoccurrence despite significant control efforts. A central question is to understand the factors favoring the continuing reoccurrence of the virus. The abundance of domestic ducks, in particular free-grazing ducks feeding in intensive rice cropping areas, has been identified as one such risk factor based on separate studies carried out in Thailand and Vietnam. In addition, recent extensive progress was made in the spatial prediction of rice cropping intensity obtained through satellite imagery processing. This article analyses the statistical association between the recorded HPAI H5N1 virus presence and a set of five key …
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M Gilbert, X Xiao, DU Pfeiffer, M Epprecht, S Boles… - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2008