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Long-standing ulcerative colitis is an established risk factor for colorectal neoplasia. A number of observational studies have suggested that evidence of mucosal inflammation (endoscopic or histologic) is associated with a greater risk for colorectal neoplasia than is mucosal healing. Our goal was to systematically analyze the risk of colorectal neoplasia in patients with ulcerative colitis who have ongoing mucosal inflammation to better inform surveillance strategies.

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effect of endoscopic and/or histologic inflammation on the risk of colorectal neoplasia in cohort and case-control studies. Sensitivity analyses for study setting and case definition were performed.

Six studies met the inclusion criteria, incorporating outcomes in 1443 patients. No study used a single validated measure for mucosal inflammation. The pooled odds …