作者
Chayanin Sararat, Jidchanok Wangkanai, Chaiwat Wilasang, Tanakorn Chantanasaro, Charin Modchang
发表日期
2022/10/20
期刊
Scientific Reports
卷号
12
期号
1
页码范围
17543
出版商
Nature Publishing Group UK
简介
The isolation of infected individuals and quarantine of their contacts are usually employed to mitigate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Although 14-day isolation of infected individuals could effectively reduce the risk of subsequent transmission, it also substantially impacts the patient's psychological and emotional well-being. It is, therefore, vital to investigate how the isolation duration could be shortened when effective vaccines are available. Here, an individual-based modeling approach was employed to estimate the likelihood of secondary infections and the likelihood of an outbreak following the isolation of a primary case for a range of isolation periods. Our individual-based model integrated the viral loads and infectiousness profiles of vaccinated and unvaccinated infected individuals. The effects of waning vaccine-induced immunity against infection were also considered. By simulating the transmission of the …
引用总数
学术搜索中的文章