作者
Marten Scheffer, Stephen R Carpenter, Timothy M Lenton, Jordi Bascompte, William Brock, Vasilis Dakos, Johan Van de Koppel, Ingrid A Van de Leemput, Simon A Levin, Egbert H Van Nes, Mercedes Pascual, John Vandermeer
发表日期
2012/10/19
来源
science
卷号
338
期号
6105
页码范围
344-348
出版商
American Association for the Advancement of Science
简介
Tipping points in complex systems may imply risks of unwanted collapse, but also opportunities for positive change. Our capacity to navigate such risks and opportunities can be boosted by combining emerging insights from two unconnected fields of research. One line of work is revealing fundamental architectural features that may cause ecological networks, financial markets, and other complex systems to have tipping points. Another field of research is uncovering generic empirical indicators of the proximity to such critical thresholds. Although sudden shifts in complex systems will inevitably continue to surprise us, work at the crossroads of these emerging fields offers new approaches for anticipating critical transitions.
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M Scheffer, SR Carpenter, TM Lenton, J Bascompte… - science, 2012