作者
James Lightwood, Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo, Pamela Coxson, Y Claire Wang, Lawrence Williams, Lee Goldman
发表日期
2009/12
期刊
American Journal of Public Health
卷号
99
期号
12
页码范围
2230-2237
出版商
American Public Health Association
简介
Objectives. We predicted the future economic burden attributable to high rates of current adolescent overweight.
Methods. We constructed models to simulate the costs of excess obesity and associated diabetes and coronary heart disease (CHD) among adults aged 35–64 years in the US population in 2020 to 2050.
Results. Current adolescent overweight is projected to result in 161 million life-years complicated by obesity, diabetes, or CHD and 1.5 million life-years lost. The cumulative excess attributable total costs are estimated at $254 billion: $208 billion because of lost productivity from earlier death or morbidity and $46 billion from direct medical costs. Currently available therapies for hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes, used according to guidelines, if applied in the future, would result in modest reductions in excess mortality (decreased to 1.1 million life-years lost) but increase total excess costs by …
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