作者
Deepa Jahagirdar, Magdalene K Walters, Amanda Novotney, Edmond D Brewer, Tahvi D Frank, Austin Carter, Molly H Biehl, Hedayat Abbastabar, ES Abhilash, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Laith Jamal Abu-Raddad, Victor Adekanmbi, Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani, Saira Afzal, Soodabeh Aghababaei, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Sajjad Ahmad, Keivan Ahmadi, Sepideh Ahmadi, Ehsan Ahmadpour, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Tarik Ahmed Rashid, Yusra Ahmed Salih, Addis Aklilu, Tayyaba Akram, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Hanadi Al Hamad, Fares Alahdab, Fahad Mashhour Alanezi, Ekaterina A Aleksandrova, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Liaqat Ali, Vahid Alipour, Sami Almustanyir, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Edward Kwabena Ameyaw, Hubert Amu, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Tudorel Andrei, Davood Anvari, Jalal Arabloo, Olatunde Aremu, Judie Arulappan, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Muluken Altaye Ayza, Samad Azari, BB Darshan, Maciej Banach, Till Winfried Bärnighausen, Fabio Barra, Amadou Barrow, Sanjay Basu, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Habtamu Gebrehana Belay, Tezera Moshago Berheto, Woldesellassie Mequanint Bezabhe, Yihienew Mequanint Bezabih, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Sadia Bibi, Ali Bijani, Catherine Bisignano, Obasanjo Afolabi Bolarinwa, Archith Boloor, Azizbek A Boltaev, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Danilo Buonsenso, Katrin Burkart, Zahid A Butt, Chao Cao, Jaykaran Charan, Souranshu Chatterjee, Soosanna Kumary Chattu, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Sonali Gajanan Choudhari, Dinh-Toi Chu, Rosa AS Couto, Richard G Cowden, Berihun Assefa Dachew, Omid Dadras, Amare Belachew Dagnew, Saad MA Dahlawi, Xiaochen Dai, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, José das Neves, Louisa Degenhardt, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Keshab Deuba, Deepak Dhamnetiya, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Daniel Diaz, Shirin Djalalinia, Linh Phuong Doan, Fariba Dorostkar, Hisham Atan Edinur, Andem Effiong, Sahar Eftekharzadeh, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Rajesh Elayedath, Muhammed Elhadi, Shaimaa I El-Jaafary, Ziad El-Khatib, Aisha Elsharkawy, Aklilu Endalamaw, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Ifeanyi Jude Ezeonwumelu, Sayeh Ezzikouri, Mohammad Farahmand, Jose A Faraon, Abidemi Omolara Fasanmi, Simone Ferrero, Lorenzo Ferro Desideri, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Masoud Foroutan, Takeshi Fukumoto, Mohamed M Gad, Muktar A Gadanya, Abhay Motiramji Gaidhane, Tushar Garg, Reta Tsegaye Gayesa, Eyob Alemayehu Gebreyohannes, Hailay Abrha Gesesew, Abera Getachew Obsa, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Syed Amir Gilani, Themba G Ginindza, Ionela-Roxana Glavan, Ekaterina Vladimirovna Glushkova, Mahaveer Golechha, Harish Chander Gugnani, Bhawna Gupta, Sapna Gupta, Veer Bala Gupta, Vivek Kumar Gupta, Samer Hamidi, Senad Handanagic, Shafiul Haque, Harapan Harapan, Arief Hargono
发表日期
2021/10/1
期刊
The Lancet HIV
卷号
8
期号
10
页码范围
e633-e651
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
The sustainable development goals (SDGs) aim to end HIV/AIDS as a public health threat by 2030. Understanding the current state of the HIV epidemic and its change over time is essential to this effort. This study assesses the current sex-specific HIV burden in 204 countries and territories and measures progress in the control of the epidemic.
Methods
To estimate age-specific and sex-specific trends in 48 of 204 countries, we extended the Estimation and Projection Package Age-Sex Model to also implement the spectrum paediatric model. We used this model in cases where age and sex specific HIV-seroprevalence surveys and antenatal care-clinic sentinel surveillance data were available. For the remaining 156 of 204 locations, we developed a cohort-incidence bias adjustment to derive incidence as a function of cause-of-death data from vital registration systems. The incidence was input to a custom …
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D Jahagirdar, MK Walters, A Novotney, ED Brewer… - The Lancet HIV, 2021