作者
Graeme L Hickey, Stuart W Grant, Gavin J Murphy, Moninder Bhabra, Domenico Pagano, Katherine McAllister, Iain Buchan, Ben Bridgewater
发表日期
2013/6/1
期刊
European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery
卷号
43
期号
6
页码范围
1146-1152
出版商
Oxford University Press
简介
OBJECTIVES
Progressive loss of calibration of the original EuroSCORE models has necessitated the introduction of the EuroSCORE II model. Poor model calibration has important implications for clinical decision-making and risk adjustment of governance analyses. The objective of this study was to explore the reasons for the calibration drift of the logistic EuroSCORE.
METHODS
Data from the Society for Cardiothoracic Surgery in Great Britain and Ireland database were analysed for procedures performed at all National Health Service and some private hospitals in England and Wales between April 2001 and March 2011. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. EuroSCORE risk factors, overall model calibration and discrimination were assessed over time.
RESULTS
A total of 317 292 procedures were included. Over the study period, mean age at …
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GL Hickey, SW Grant, GJ Murphy, M Bhabra, D Pagano… - European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, 2013