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Cross-sectional studies suggest that impaired cerebral haemodynamics is associated with symptomatic status in patients with carotid stenosis and occlusion, but there is relatively little prospective data confirming this association. Transcranial Doppler ultrasonography was used to determine the reactivity of the middle cerebral artery to 8% carbon dioxide in air in 107 patients with either carotid occlusion (n = 48) or asymptomatic carotid stenosis (n = 59). Subjects were followed prospectively until stroke, transient ischaemic attack (TIA), death or study end. Mean duration of follow-up was 635 days. No patients dropped out due to operation before an end-point was reached, or were lost to follow-up. There were 11 ipsilateral ischaemic events during follow-up (six strokes, five TIAs). Exhausted ipsilateral middle cerebral artery reactivity (>20% increase in ipsilateral middle cerebral flow velocity in response to 8 …