作者
Haidong Wang, Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, Katherine T Lofgren, Julie Knoll Rajaratnam, Jacob R Marcus, Alison Levin-Rector, Carly E Levitz, Alan D Lopez, Christopher JL Murray
发表日期
2012/12/15
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
380
期号
9859
页码范围
2071-2094
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
Estimation of the number and rate of deaths by age and sex is a key first stage for calculation of the burden of disease in order to constrain estimates of cause-specific mortality and to measure premature mortality in populations. We aimed to estimate life tables and annual numbers of deaths for 187 countries from 1970 to 2010.
Methods
We estimated trends in under-5 mortality rate (children aged 0–4 years) and probability of adult death (15–59 years) for each country with all available data. Death registration data were available for more than 100 countries and we corrected for undercount with improved death distribution methods. We applied refined methods to survey data on sibling survival that correct for survivor, zero-sibling, and recall bias. We separately estimated mortality from natural disasters and wars. We generated final estimates of under-5 mortality and adult mortality from the data with …
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