作者
William WL Cheung, Jessica J Meeuwig, Ming Feng, Euan Harvey, Vicky WY Lam, Tim Langlois, Dirk Slawinski, Chaojiao Sun, Daniel Pauly
发表日期
2012/5/4
期刊
Marine and Freshwater Research
卷号
63
期号
5
页码范围
415-427
出版商
CSIRO PUBLISHING
简介
A major observed and predicted impact of climate change on marine species is the poleward shift in their distributions and the resulting changes in community structure. Here, we used a Dynamic Bioclimate Envelope Model to project range shift of exploited marine fishes and invertebrates in Western Australia. We combined published data and expert knowledge to predict current species distributions for 30 tropical, sub-tropical and temperate species that occur along the coast of Western Australia. Using outputs from both a Regional Oceanographic Model and a Global Circulation Model, we simulated change in the distribution of each species. Our study shows that under the SRES (Special Report for Emission Scenarios) A1B scenario, the median rate of distribution shift is around 19 km decade–1 towards higher latitudes and 9 m deeper decade–1 by 2055 relative to 2005. As a result, species gains and losses …
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WWL Cheung, JJ Meeuwig, M Feng, E Harvey… - Marine and Freshwater Research, 2012