作者
Katherine R Paulson, Aruna M Kamath, Tahiya Alam, Kelly Bienhoff, Gdiom Gebreheat Abady, Jaffar Abbas, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Hedayat Abbastabar, Foad Abd-Allah, Sherief M Abd-Elsalam, Amir Abdoli, Aidin Abedi, Hassan Abolhassani, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Niveen ME Abu-Rmeileh, Abdelrahman I Abushouk, Aishatu L Adamu, Oladimeji M Adebayo, Adeyinka Emmanuel Adegbosin, Victor Adekanmbi, Olatunji O Adetokunboh, Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka, Jose C Adsuar, Khashayar Afshari, Mohammad Aghaali, Marcela Agudelo-Botero, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Tauseef Ahmad, Keivan Ahmadi, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Budi Aji, Yonas Akalu, Oluwaseun Oladapo Akinyemi, Addis Aklilu, Ziyad Al-Aly, Khurshid Alam, Fahad Mashhour Alanezi, Turki M Alanzi, Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde-Rabanal, Ayman Al-Eyadhy, Tilahun Ali, Gianfranco Alicandro, Sheikh Mohammad Alif, Vahid Alipour, Hesam Alizade, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Amir Almasi-Hashiani, Nihad A Almasri, Hesham M Al-Mekhlafi, Jordi Alonso, Rajaa M Al-Raddadi, Khalid A Altirkawi, Arwa Khalid Alumran, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Nelson J Alvis-Zakzuk, Edward Kwabena Ameyaw, Saeed Amini, Mostafa Amini-Rarani, Arianna Maever L Amit, Dickson A Amugsi, Robert Ancuceanu, Deanna Anderlini, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Fereshteh Ansari, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Carl Abelardo T Antonio, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Davood Anvari, Razique Anwer, Muhammad Aqeel, Jalal Arabloo, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Timur Aripov, Johan Ärnlöv, Kurnia Dwi Artanti, Afsaneh Arzani, Malke Asaad, Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi, Ali A Asadi-Pooya, Mohammad Asghari Jafarabadi, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Seyyede Masoume Athari, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Alok Atreya, Madhu Sudhan Atteraya, Marcel Ausloos, Asma Tahir Awan, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Getinet Ayano, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Yared Asmare Aynalem, Samad Azari, Ghasem Azarian, Zelalem Nigussie Azene, BB Darshan, Ebrahim Babaee, Ashish D Badiye, Atif Amin Baig, Maciej Banach, Palash Chandra Banik, Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo, Hiba Jawdat Barqawi, Quique Bassat, Sanjay Basu, Bernhard T Baune, Mohsen Bayati, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Massimiliano Beghi, Michelle L Bell, Salaheddine Bendak, Derrick A Bennett, Isabela M Bensenor, Kidanemaryam Berhe, Adam E Berman, Yihienew Mequanint Bezabih, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Dinesh Bhandari, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Suraj Bhattarai, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Boris Bikbov, Antonio Biondi, Binyam Minuye Birihane, Raaj Kishore Biswas, Somayeh Bohlouli, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Alexey V Breusov, Andre R Brunoni, Katrin Burkart, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Reinhard Busse, Zahid A Butt, Florentino Luciano Caetano Dos Santos, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Paulo Camargos, Luis Alberto Camera, Rosario Cardenas, Giulia Carreras, Juan J Carrero, Felix Carvalho, Joao Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Carlos A Castaneda-Orjuela, Giulio Castelpietra, Ester Cerin, Jung-Chen Chang, Wagaye Fentahun Chanie
发表日期
2021/9/4
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
398
期号
10303
页码范围
870-905
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 has targeted elimination of preventable child mortality, reduction of neonatal death to less than 12 per 1000 livebirths, and reduction of death of children younger than 5 years to less than 25 per 1000 livebirths, for each country by 2030. To understand current rates, recent trends, and potential trajectories of child mortality for the next decade, we present the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 findings for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in children younger than 5 years of age, with multiple scenarios for child mortality in 2030 that include the consideration of potential effects of COVID-19, and a novel framework for quantifying optimal child survival.
Methods
We completed all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality analyses from 204 countries and territories for detailed age groups separately, with aggregated …
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