作者
Benjamin W Abbott, Jeremy B Jones, Edward AG Schuur, F Stuart Chapin III, William B Bowden, M Syndonia Bret-Harte, Howard E Epstein, Michael D Flannigan, Tamara K Harms, Teresa N Hollingsworth, Michelle C Mack, A David McGuire, Susan M Natali, Adrian V Rocha, Suzanne E Tank, Merritt R Turetsky, Jorien E Vonk, Kimberly P Wickland, George R Aiken, Heather D Alexander, Rainer MW Amon, Brian W Benscoter, Yves Bergeron, Kevin Bishop, Olivier Blarquez, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Amy L Breen, Ishi Buffam, Yihua Cai, Christopher Carcaillet, Sean K Carey, Jing M Chen, Han YH Chen, Torben R Christensen, Lee W Cooper, J Hans C Cornelissen, William J De Groot, Thomas H DeLuca, Ellen Dorrepaal, Ned Fetcher, Jacques C Finlay, Bruce C Forbes, Nancy HF French, Sylvie Gauthier, Martin P Girardin, Scott J Goetz, Johann G Goldammer, Laura Gough, Paul Grogan, Laodong Guo, Philip E Higuera, Larry Hinzman, Feng Sheng Hu, Gustaf Hugelius, Elchin E Jafarov, Randi Jandt, Jill F Johnstone, Jan Karlsson, Eric S Kasischke, Gerhard Kattner, Ryan Kelly, Frida Keuper, George W Kling, Pirkko Kortelainen, Jari Kouki, Peter Kuhry, Hjalmar Laudon, Isabelle Laurion, Robie W Macdonald, Paul J Mann, Pertti J Martikainen, James W McClelland, Ulf Molau, Steven F Oberbauer, David Olefeldt, David Paré, Marc-André Parisien, Serge Payette, Changhui Peng, Oleg S Pokrovsky, Edward B Rastetter, Peter A Raymond, Martha K Raynolds, Guillermo Rein, James F Reynolds, Martin Robards, Brendan M Rogers, Christina Schädel, Kevin Schaefer, Inger K Schmidt, Anatoly Shvidenko, Jasper Sky, Robert GM Spencer, Gregory Starr, Robert G Striegl, Roman Teisserenc, Lars J Tranvik, Tarmo Virtanen, Jeffrey M Welker, Sergei Zimov
发表日期
2016/3/7
期刊
Environmental Research Letters
卷号
11
期号
3
页码范围
034014
出版商
IOP Publishing
简介
As the permafrost region warms, its large organic carbon pool will be increasingly vulnerable to decomposition, combustion, and hydrologic export. Models predict that some portion of this release will be offset by increased production of Arctic and boreal biomass; however, the lack of robust estimates of net carbon balance increases the risk of further overshooting international emissions targets. Precise empirical or model-based assessments of the critical factors driving carbon balance are unlikely in the near future, so to address this gap, we present estimates from 98 permafrost-region experts of the response of biomass, wildfire, and hydrologic carbon flux to climate change. Results suggest that contrary to model projections, total permafrost-region biomass could decrease due to water stress and disturbance, factors that are not adequately incorporated in current models. Assessments indicate that end-of-the …
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BW Abbott, JB Jones, EAG Schuur, FS Chapin III… - Environmental Research Letters, 2016