作者
Ellen Brooks-Pollock, Andrew JK Conlan, Andy P Mitchell, Ruth Blackwell, Trevelyan J McKinley, James LN Wood
发表日期
2013/12
期刊
Veterinary research
卷号
44
页码范围
1-9
出版商
BioMed Central
简介
Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is an important livestock disease, seriously impacting cattle industries in both industrialised and pre-industrialised countries. Like TB in other mammals, infection is life long and, if undiagnosed, may progress to disease years after exposure. The risk of disease in humans is highly age-dependent, however in cattle, age-dependent risks have yet to be quantified, largely due to insufficient data and limited diagnostics. Here, we estimate age-specific reactor rates in Great Britain by combining herd-level testing data with spatial movement data from the Cattle Tracing System (CTS). Using a catalytic model, we find strong age dependencies in infection risk and that the probability of detecting infection increases with age. Between 2004 and 2009, infection incidence in cattle fluctuated around 1%. Age-specific incidence increased monotonically until 24–36 months, with cattle aged between …
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E Brooks-Pollock, AJK Conlan, AP Mitchell… - Veterinary research, 2013