作者
Kausik Chaudhuri, Yangru Wu
发表日期
2003/4/1
期刊
Journal of Banking & Finance
卷号
27
期号
4
页码范围
575-592
出版商
North-Holland
简介
This paper investigates whether stock-price indexes of seventeen emerging markets can be characterized as random walk (unit root) or mean reversion processes. We implement a test that can account for structural breaks in the underlying series and is more powerful than standard tests. We find that for fourteen countries, stock prices exhibit structural breaks. Furthermore, for ten countries, the null hypothesis of a random walk can be rejected at the one or 5% significance level. Our results indicate that ignoring structural breaks that arise from the liberalization of emerging markets can lead to incorrect inference that these indices are characterized by random walks, and are consistent with the points made by Bekaert et al. [J. Int. Money Finan. 21 (2002) 295]. Our findings hold true regardless of whether stock indexes are denominated in US dollar terms, in local currencies terms, or in real terms.
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