作者
Min Qi, Yangru Wu
发表日期
2006/12/1
期刊
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
页码范围
2135-2158
出版商
Ohio State University Press
简介
We report evidence on the profitability and statistical significance among 2,127 technical trading rules. The best rules are found to be significantly profiTable based on standard tests. We then employ White's (2000) Reality Check to evaluate these rules and find that data-snooping biases do not change the basic conclusions for the full sample. A sub-sample analysis indicates that the data-snooping problem is more serious in the second half of the sample. Profitability becomes much weaker in the more recent period, suggesting that the foreign exchange market becomes more efficient over time. Evidence from cross exchange rates confirms the basic findings.
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