作者
Harish Nair, W Abdullah Brooks, Mark Katz, Anna Roca, James A Berkley, Shabir A Madhi, James Mark Simmerman, Aubree Gordon, Masatoki Sato, Stephen Howie, Anand Krishnan, Maurice Ope, Kim A Lindblade, Phyllis Carosone-Link, Marilla Lucero, Walter Ochieng, Laurie Kamimoto, Erica Dueger, Niranjan Bhat, Sirenda Vong, Evropi Theodoratou, Malinee Chittaganpitch, Osaretin Chimah, Angel Balmaseda, Philippe Buchy, Eva Harris, Valerie Evans, Masahiko Katayose, Bharti Gaur, Cristina O'Callaghan-Gordo, Doli Goswami, Wences Arvelo, Marietjie Venter, Thomas Briese, Rafal Tokarz, Marc-Alain Widdowson, Anthony W Mounts, Robert F Breiman, Daniel R Feikin, Keith P Klugman, Sonja J Olsen, Bradford D Gessner, Peter F Wright, Igor Rudan, Shobha Broor, Eric AF Simões, Harry Campbell
发表日期
2011/12/3
来源
The Lancet
卷号
378
期号
9807
页码范围
1917-1930
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
The global burden of disease attributable to seasonal influenza virus in children is unknown. We aimed to estimate the global incidence of and mortality from lower respiratory infections associated with influenza in children younger than 5 years.
Methods
We estimated the incidence of influenza episodes, influenza-associated acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI), and influenza-associated severe ALRI in children younger than 5 years, stratified by age, with data from a systematic review of studies published between Jan 1, 1995, and Oct 31, 2010, and 16 unpublished population-based studies. We applied these incidence estimates to global population estimates for 2008 to calculate estimates for that year. We estimated possible bounds for influenza-associated ALRI mortality by combining incidence estimates with case fatality ratios from hospital-based reports and identifying studies with population …
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