作者
Haidong Wang, Chelsea A Liddell, Matthew M Coates, Meghan D Mooney, Carly E Levitz, Austin E Schumacher, Henry Apfel, Marissa Iannarone, Bryan Phillips, Katherine T Lofgren, Logan Sandar, Rob E Dorrington, Ivo Rakovac, Troy A Jacobs, Xiaofeng Liang, Maigeng Zhou, Jun Zhu, Gonghuan Yang, Yanping Wang, Shiwei Liu, Yichong Li, Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren, Semaw Ferede Abera, Ibrahim Abubakar, Tom Achoki, Ademola Adelekan, Zanfina Ademi, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Peter J Allen, Mohammad AbdulAziz AlMazroa, Elena Alvarez, Adansi A Amankwaa, Azmeraw T Amare, Walid Ammar, Palwasha Anwari, Solveig Argeseanu Cunningham, Majed Masoud Asad, Reza Assadi, Amitava Banerjee, Sanjay Basu, Neeraj Bedi, Tolesa Bekele, Michelle L Bell, Zulfiqar Bhutta, Jed D Blore, Berrak Bora Basara, Soufiane Boufous, Nicholas Breitborde, Nigel G Bruce, Linh Ngoc Bui, Jonathan R Carapetis, Rosario Cárdenas, David O Carpenter, Valeria Caso, Ruben Estanislao Castro, Ferrán Catalá-Lopéz, Alanur Cavlin, Xuan Che, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Rajiv Chowdhury, Costas A Christophi, Ting-Wu Chuang, Massimo Cirillo, Iuri da Costa Leite, Karen J Courville, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Adrian Davis, Anand Dayama, Kebede Deribe, Samath D Dharmaratne, Mukesh K Dherani, Uğur Dilmen, Eric L Ding, Karen M Edmond, Sergei Petrovich Ermakov, Farshad Farzadfar, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Daniel Obadare Fijabi, Nataliya Foigt, Mohammad H Forouzanfar, Ana C Garcia, Johanna M Geleijnse, Bradford D Gessner, Ketevan Goginashvili, Philimon Gona, Atsushi Goto, Hebe N Gouda, Mark A Green, Karen Fern Greenwell, Harish Chander Gugnani, Rahul Gupta, Randah Ribhi Hamadeh, Mouhanad Hammami, Hilda L Harb, Simon Hay, Mohammad T Hedayati, H Dean Hosgood, Damian G Hoy, Bulat T Idrisov, Farhad Islami, Samaya Ismayilova, Vivekanand Jha, Guohong Jiang, Jost B Jonas, Knud Juel, Edmond Kato Kabagambe, Dhruv S Kazi, Andre Pascal Kengne, Maia Kereselidze, Yousef Saleh Khader, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa, Young-Ho Khang, Daniel Kim, Yohannes Kinfu, Jonas M Kinge, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Soewarta Kosen, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Kaushalendra Kumar, Ravi B Kumar, Taavi Lai, Qing Lan, Anders Larsson, Jong-Tae Lee, Mall Leinsalu, Stephen S Lim, Steven E Lipshultz, Giancarlo Logroscino, Paulo A Lotufo, Raimundas Lunevicius, Ronan Anthony Lyons, Stefan Ma, Abbas Ali Mahdi, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Mohammad Taufiq Mashal, Tasara T Mazorodze, John J McGrath, Ziad A Memish, Walter Mendoza, George A Mensah, Atte Meretoja, Ted R Miller, Edward J Mills, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Ali H Mokdad, Lorenzo Monasta, Marcella Montico, Ami R Moore
发表日期
2014/9/13
期刊
The Lancet
卷号
384
期号
9947
页码范围
957-979
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success.
Methods
We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0–6 days), late neonatal (7–28 days), postneonatal (29–364 days), childhood (1–4 years), and under-5 (0–4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29 000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality …
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H Wang, CA Liddell, MM Coates, MD Mooney… - The Lancet, 2014