作者
Michael A Irvine, Margot Kuo, Jane A Buxton, Robert Balshaw, Michael Otterstatter, Laura Macdougall, M‐J Milloy, Aamir Bharmal, Bonnie Henry, Mark Tyndall, Daniel Coombs, Mark Gilbert
发表日期
2019/9
期刊
Addiction
卷号
114
期号
9
页码范围
1602-1613
简介
Background and aims
The province of British Columbia (BC) Canada has experienced a rapid increase in illicit drug overdoses and deaths during the last 4 years, with a provincial emergency declared in April 2016. These deaths have been driven primarily by the introduction of synthetic opioids into the illicit opioid supply. This study aimed to measure the combined impact of large‐scale opioid overdose interventions implemented in BC between April 2016 and December 2017 on the number of deaths averted.
Design
We expanded on the mathematical modelling methodology of our previous study to construct a Bayesian hierarchical latent Markov process model to estimate monthly overdose and overdose‐death risk, along with the impact of interventions.
Setting and Cases
Overdose events and overdose‐related deaths in BC from January 2012 to December 2017.
Interventions
The interventions considered …
学术搜索中的文章
MA Irvine, M Kuo, JA Buxton, R Balshaw, M Otterstatter… - Addiction, 2019