作者
Jie Jiang, Tianjun Zhou, Xiaolong Chen, Lixia Zhang
发表日期
2020/4/29
期刊
Environmental Research Letters
卷号
15
期号
5
页码范围
054009
出版商
IOP Publishing
简介
A stronger than global mean warming trend is projected over Central Asia in the coming century. Based on the historical simulations and projections under four combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5) provided by 15 models from the Sixth Phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), we show a comprehensive picture of the future changes in precipitation over Central Asia under rapid warming and investigate possible mechanisms. At the end of the twenty-first century, robust increase of annual mean precipitation under all the scenarios is found (4.23 [2.60 to 7.36]%, 10.52 [5.05 to 13.36]%, 14.51 [8.11 to 16.91]%, 14.41 [9.58 to 21.26]% relative to the present-day for SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5, respectively). The response of precipitation to increasing global mean …
引用总数
20202021202220232024525604724
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