Modeling of future COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, by vaccination rates and nonpharmaceutical intervention scenarios—United States, April–September 2021 RK Borchering MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 70, 2021 | 160 | 2021 |
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandmann, ... Elife 12, e81916, 2023 | 60 | 2023 |
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination S Truelove, CP Smith, M Qin, LC Mullany, RK Borchering, J Lessler, ... Elife 11, e73584, 2022 | 43 | 2022 |
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi … RK Borchering, LC Mullany, E Howerton, M Chinazzi, CP Smith, M Qin, ... The Lancet Regional Health–Americas 17, 2023 | 33 | 2023 |
All models are useful: Bayesian ensembling for robust high resolution covid-19 forecasting A Adiga, L Wang, B Hurt, A Peddireddy, P Porebski, S Venkatramanan, ... Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data …, 2021 | 33 | 2021 |
Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty E Howerton, L Contamin, LC Mullany, M Qin, NG Reich, S Bents, ... Nature communications 14 (1), 7260, 2023 | 25 | 2023 |
Data-driven scalable pipeline using national agent-based models for real-time pandemic response and decision support P Bhattacharya, J Chen, S Hoops, D Machi, B Lewis, S Venkatramanan, ... The International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications 37 (1 …, 2023 | 24 | 2023 |
Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations SM Mathis, AE Webber, TM León, EL Murray, M Sun, LA White, LC Brooks, ... Nature communications 15 (1), 6289, 2024 | 15 | 2024 |
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 VK Lopez, EY Cramer, R Pagano, JM Drake, EB O’Dea, M Adee, T Ayer, ... PLoS computational biology 20 (5), e1011200, 2024 | 9 | 2024 |
Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. An evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub E Howerton, L Contamin, LC Mullany, M Qin, NG Reich, S Bents, ... medRxiv, 2023 | 9 | 2023 |
Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty E Howerton, L Contamin, LC Mullany, M Qin, NG Reich, S Bents, ... An evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, 2023 | 6 | 2023 |
Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub S Jung, SL Loo, E Howerton, L Contamin, CP Smith, EC Carcelén, K Yan, ... Plos Medicine 21 (4), e1004387, 2024 | 5 | 2024 |
Enhancing COVID-19 ensemble forecasting model performance using auxiliary data sources A Adiga, G Kaur, B Hurt, L Wang, P Porebski, S Venkatramanan, B Lewis, ... 2022 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 1594-1603, 2022 | 5 | 2022 |
Phase-Informed Bayesian ensemble models improve performance of COVID-19 forecasts A Adiga, G Kaur, L Wang, B Hurt, P Porebski, S Venkatramanan, B Lewis, ... Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence 37 (13), 15647 …, 2023 | 4 | 2023 |
European covid-19 forecast hub K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandman, ... | 4 | 2022 |
Data-driven mechanistic framework with stratified immunity and effective transmissibility for COVID-19 scenario projections P Porebski, S Venkatramanan, A Adiga, B Klahn, B Hurt, ML Wilson, ... Epidemics 47, 100761, 2024 | 3 | 2024 |
COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions: data annotation for rapidly changing local policy information B Hurt, OB Hoque, F Mokrzycki, A Mathew, M Xue, L Gabitsinashvili, ... Scientific Data 10 (1), 126, 2023 | 2 | 2023 |
A Multi-Team Multi-Model Collaborative Covid-19 Forecasting Hub for India A Adiga, B Hurt, G Kaur, B Lewis, M Marathe, P Porebski, ... 2023 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 994-1005, 2023 | | 2023 |
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations J Zieliński, F Rakowski, J Nowosielski, K Niedzielewski, S Funk, J Bracher, ... eLife, 2023 | | 2023 |
Informing university COVID-19 decisions using simple compartmental models B Hurt, A Adiga, M Marathe, CL Barrett 2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 1-12, 2021 | | 2021 |