What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters? CW Karvetski, C Meinel, DT Maxwell, Y Lu, BA Mellers, PE Tetlock International Journal of Forecasting 38 (2), 688-704, 2022 | 20 | 2022 |
Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda CJ Clark, L Jussim, K Frey, ST Stevens, M Al-Gharbi, K Aquino, JM Bailey, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (48), e2301642120, 2023 | 16 | 2023 |
Taboos and self-censorship among US Psychology Professors CJ Clark, M Fjeldmark, L Lu, RF Baumeister, S Ceci, K Frey, G Miller, ... Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17456916241252085, 2024 | 7 | 2024 |
False dichotomy alert: Improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk PE Tetlock, Y Lu, BA Mellers International Journal of Forecasting 39 (2), 1021-1025, 2023 | 6 | 2023 |
Forecasting the accuracy of forecasters from properties of forecasting rationales C Karvetski, C Meinel, D Maxwell, Y Lu, B Mellers, P Tetlock Available at SSRN 3779404, 2021 | 6 | 2021 |
Human and algorithmic predictions in geopolitical forecasting: Quantifying uncertainty in hard-to-quantify domains BA Mellers, JP McCoy, L Lu, PE Tetlock Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17456916231185339, 2023 | 3 | 2023 |
Predicting the future with humans and AI BA Mellers, L Lu, JP McCoy Consumer Psychology Review 6 (1), 109-120, 2023 | 2 | 2023 |