Near-term climate change: projections and predictability B Kirtman, SB Power, AJ Adedoyin, GJ Boer, R Bojariu, I Camilloni, ... Cambridge University Press, 2013 | 1468 | 2013 |
Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER) TN Palmer, A Alessandri, U Andersen, P Cantelaube, M Davey, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85 (6), 853-872, 2004 | 1187 | 2004 |
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting—I. Basic concept R Hagedorn, FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 57 (3), 219-233, 2005 | 821 | 2005 |
Fundamental challenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall B Wang, Q Ding, X Fu, IS Kang, K Jin, J Shukla, F Doblas‐Reyes Geophysical Research Letters 32 (15), 2005 | 728 | 2005 |
Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time‐scales P Bechtold, M Köhler, T Jung, F Doblas‐Reyes, M Leutbecher, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: A journal of the …, 2008 | 682 | 2008 |
Technical summary PA Arias, N Bellouin, E Coppola, RG Jones, G Krinner, J Marotzke, V Naik, ... Cambridge University Press, 2021 | 638 | 2021 |
Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles MC Thomson, FJ Doblas-Reyes, SJ Mason, R Hagedorn, SJ Connor, ... Nature 439 (7076), 576-579, 2006 | 628 | 2006 |
Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches GA Meehl, L Goddard, G Boer, R Burgman, G Branstator, C Cassou, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95 (2), 243-267, 2014 | 573 | 2014 |
Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi‐model experiment RD Koster, SPP Mahanama, TJ Yamada, G Balsamo, AA Berg, ... Geophysical Research Letters 37 (2), 2010 | 455 | 2010 |
Climate Change 2021: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; technical summary P Arias, N Bellouin, E Coppola, R Jones, G Krinner, J Marotzke, V Naik, ... | 427 | 2021 |
Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects FJ Doblas‐Reyes, J García‐Serrano, F Lienert, AP Biescas, ... Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 4 (4), 245-268, 2013 | 425 | 2013 |
Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty TN Palmer, R Buizza, F Doblas-Reyes, T Jung, M Leutbecher, GJ Shutts, ... ECMWF 42 (598), 10, 2009 | 421 | 2009 |
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting—II. Calibration and combination FJ Doblas-Reyes, R Hagedorn, TN Palmer Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 57 (3), 234-252, 2005 | 404 | 2005 |
The second phase of the global land–atmosphere coupling experiment: soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill RD Koster, SPP Mahanama, TJ Yamada, G Balsamo, AA Berg, ... Journal of Hydrometeorology 12 (5), 805-822, 2011 | 388 | 2011 |
Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction TN Palmer, GJ Shutts, R Hagedorn, FJ Doblas-Reyes, T Jung, ... Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 33 (1), 163-193, 2005 | 383 | 2005 |
The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6 R Döscher, M Acosta, A Alessandri, P Anthoni, A Arneth, T Arsouze, ... Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 2021, 1-90, 2021 | 361 | 2021 |
Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts TN Palmer, FJ Doblas-Reyes, A Weisheimer, MJ Rodwell Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 89 (4), 459-470, 2008 | 329 | 2008 |
The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6 GJ Boer, DM Smith, C Cassou, F Doblas-Reyes, G Danabasoglu, ... Geoscientific Model Development 9 (10), 3751-3777, 2016 | 310 | 2016 |
ENSEMBLES: A new multi‐model ensemble for seasonal‐to‐annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs A Weisheimer, FJ Doblas‐Reyes, TN Palmer, A Alessandri, A Arribas, ... Geophysical research letters 36 (21), 2009 | 310 | 2009 |
Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction FJ Doblas-Reyes, I Andreu-Burillo, Y Chikamoto, J García-Serrano, ... Nature communications 4 (1), 1715, 2013 | 309 | 2013 |