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Tara Sinclair
Tara Sinclair
Professor of Economics and International Affairs, The George Washington University
在 gwu.edu 的电子邮件经过验证 - 首页
标题
引用次数
引用次数
年份
The relationships between permanent and transitory movements in US output and the unemployment rate
TM Sinclair
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 41 (2‐3), 529-542, 2009
1412009
Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions
TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, L Kitzinger
Applied Economics 42 (18), 2289-2297, 2010
1122010
A state-level analysis of Okun's law
AY Guisinger, R Hernandez-Murillo, MT Owyang, TM Sinclair
Regional Science and Urban Economics 68, 239-248, 2018
982018
Asymmetry in the business cycle: Friedman's plucking model with correlated innovations
TM Sinclair
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 14 (1), 2009
792009
Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?
TM Sinclair, F Joutz, HO Stekler
Economics Letters 108 (1), 28-32, 2010
762010
Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19
WD Larson, TM Sinclair
International Journal of Forecasting 38 (2), 635-647, 2022
582022
Will it stay or will it go? Analysing developments in telework during COVID-19 using online job postings data
P Adrjan, G Ciminelli, A Judes, M Koelle, C Schwellnus, T Sinclair
OECD, 2021
452021
Output fluctuations in the G-7: An unobserved components approach
S Mitra, TM Sinclair
Macroeconomic dynamics 16 (3), 396-422, 2012
412012
Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates
TM Sinclair, HO Stekler
International Journal of Forecasting 29 (4), 736-750, 2013
362013
Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts
TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, W Carnow
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (1), 157-164, 2015
352015
Permanent and transitory movements in output and unemployment: Okun’s law persists
T Sinclair
George Washington University, manuscript, 2005
332005
What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts?
JD Messina, TM Sinclair, H Stekler
Journal of Macroeconomics 45, 54-62, 2015
312015
A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts
TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, W Carnow, M Hall
Economics Bulletin 32 (3), 2332-2342, 2012
312012
How well does “core” inflation capture permanent price changes?
MD Bradley, DW Jansen, TM Sinclair
Macroeconomic Dynamics 19 (4), 791-815, 2015
212015
Testing stationarity with unobserved-components models
J Morley, IB Panovska, TM Sinclair
Macroeconomic Dynamics 21 (1), 160-182, 2017
202017
A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average
C Bürgi, TM Sinclair
Empirical Economics 53, 101-115, 2017
192017
Evaluating forecasts of a vector of variables: a German forecasting competition
T Sinclair, HO Stekler, HC Muller‐Droge
Journal of Forecasting 35 (6), 493-503, 2016
192016
Okun’s Law in real time
AY Guisinger, TM Sinclair
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (1), 185-187, 2015
192015
Migration and online job search: A gravity model approach
M Mamertino, TM Sinclair
Economics Letters 181, 51-53, 2019
182019
Mongolia: Measuring the output gap
J Bersch, TM Sinclair
International Monetary Fund, 2011
182011
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