作者
Anqi Liu, Ying Huang, Danqing Huang
发表日期
2022/11/27
期刊
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
卷号
127
期号
22
页码范围
e2022JD037172
简介
The model uncertainty, one of the major sources of projection uncertainty, is still a challenge in the climate simulation. In this study, we investigated the inter‐model spread of the simulated winter surface air temperature (SAT) over the Eurasian continent and the physical link to the upper‐level jet streams from the Coupled Model Inter‐comparison Project Phase 6 models. Extracted by the inter‐model empirical orthogonal function analysis, the leading inter‐model spread of SAT over the Eurasian continent is characterized by a cold pattern, particularly over high latitudes, which is closely associated with the out‐of‐phase variation in the intensity of the East Asian polar front jet (EAPJ) and East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ). The weakened‐EAPJ‐enhanced‐EASJ pattern is linked to the intensified Siberian high, the strengthened Aleutian low, and the deepened East Asian trough. All the variations would benefit the cold …
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