作者
Reinier GS Meester, Chyke A Doubeni, Ann G Zauber, S Luuk Goede, Theodore R Levin, Douglas A Corley, Ahmedin Jemal, Iris Lansdorp‐Vogelaar
发表日期
2015/7/1
期刊
Cancer
卷号
121
期号
13
页码范围
2281-2285
简介
BACKGROUND
The National Colorectal Cancer Roundtable, a national coalition of public, private, and voluntary organizations, has recently announced an initiative to increase colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates in the United States to 80% by 2018. The authors evaluated the potential public health benefits of achieving this goal.
METHODS
The authors simulated the 1980 through 2030 United States population of individuals aged 50 to 100 years using microsimulation modeling. Test‐specific historical screening rates were based on National Health Interview Survey data for 1987 through 2013. The effects of increasing screening rates from approximately 58% in 2013 to 80% in 2018 were compared to a scenario in which the screening rate remained approximately constant. The outcomes were cancer incidence and mortality rates and numbers of CRC cases and deaths during short‐term follow‐up (2013 …
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