There is poor correlation between functional outcomes and patient satisfaction following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). We asked if early post-operative scores at 6 months or the pre- to post-operative change in scores are predictive of patient satisfaction 2 years after TKA.

We conducted a retrospective review of prospectively collected registry data of 4359 TKAs performed at a single institution. At 6 months and 2 years, the Knee Society Score (KSS), Oxford Knee Score (OKS), and Short-Form 36 scores were assessed. A satisfaction questionnaire was also completed. Logistic regression was used to generate receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves to assess the ability of each scoring system in predicting satisfaction at 2 years.

At 2 years, 91.1% of patients were satisfied. For the absolute post-operative OKS at 6 months, an AUC of 0.762 (95% CI 0.736–0.788) and a threshold of ≤ 21.5 points (or ≥ 38.5 points on the new scale) were obtained. For the KSS knee score, an AUC of 0.704 (95% CI 0.674–0.734) and a threshold of ≥ 80.5 points were identified. The OKS performed significantly better than the KSS knee score (p = 0.03) and the other post-operative scores (p < 0.001). When analysing the change in scores pre-operatively to 6 months, the AUC was < 0.7 for all scales.

Early post-operative scores, specifically the OKS and KSS knee score, can predict patient satisfaction at 2 years after TKA with good accuracy. The threshold values offer surgeons an additional tool to identify patients at risk of dissatisfaction at 2 years, enabling them to intervene earlier to ensure good patient satisfaction.

III, retrospective cohort study